Population, Foreigners, and the TFR

[Drafted Feb 2018)

In Oct 2014, at NUS Society, PM Lee gave a speech on Singapore at this inflexion point. And he made some comments about Singapore's population policy.

First, let's do some math.

[Warning: Heavy computation ahead.]

How the PAP will lose power

Video: Ex-Brit tells the Truth about Singapore's Politician 

Every General Election is for the People's Action Party (PAP) to lose, not for the opposition to win.

Because, the majority of Singaporeans are generally content with the status quo (PAP in power) and are not voting for an overthrow of the PAP govt. 

ChatGPT answers: "How would the PAP lose a General Election in Singapore?"

Oct 1, 2023 (first drafted)

ChatGPT answer:

The People's Action Party (PAP) has been the dominant political party in Singapore since the country gained independence in 1965. However, like any political party, there are several factors and scenarios that could lead to the PAP losing a general election in Singapore. Here are some key factors that could contribute to such an outcome:

Economic Downturn: A significant economic downturn or recession could lead to voter dissatisfaction with the PAP, as they have long been associated with Singapore's economic success. If the economy falters, voters may be more inclined to consider alternative parties.

The prospect for China

 Video: Why China will NOT be the next Japan (Rise of Asia):

Video argues that China is NOT facing the "lost decades" of Japan in the 1990s

Chapters: 

0:00 China Will Not Become Like Japan 

1:15 Modern-Day China is Not 1990 Japan 

2:50 Aging Population: A Ticking Timebomb? 

5:49 The Truth Behind the Fall of Japan 

10:07 Conclusion

[Addendum 11/6/20025: China's coming collapse.] 

Why the passionate support at Opposition Rallies don't translate into election victory for the Opposition

WP Rally (26/4/2025) Temasek JC

Opposition rallies during election (GE) campaigning tends to draw large crowds (video above). 

The PAP wins! Again. Ho-hum.

GE2025 results

6 May 2025

The question Singaporeans are asking is, "will the PAP ever lose control of Singapore?"

The PAP has had over 60 years of learning how to "hold onto power". Rightfully, and with (what some might call), "questionable" tactics and strategy.

Thoughts about GE 2025 before Cooling Off Day

In GE 2011, I was rooting for more opposition. Though I did not vote for the opposition. Because the opposition candidate standing in my ward, was kinda meh. WP was not in my ward.